Wednesday, 4 August 2010

UFC 117 - The Prediction Thread

It's only a few days away from the biggest UFC card for as long as I can remember so it's time for some picks. After the joy I had last time with the Jon Madsen, Chris Lytle and Brock Lesnar triple up I'm feeling more confident about some kind of big stacking wager. How it pans out is anyone's guess but I guess that's the fun of it.

Before the picks I'd just like to give a shout out to Mike up at CKA Martial Arts. I met him at the last Cage Control and he'll be providing some prizes for my monthly competitions so you good people can get involved and win some really top notch gear.

I'd also like to give a huge shout out to Tim Boetsch as he preparest to face Todd Brown following an injury to Thiago Silva. Tim was good enough to take the time to chat a while back for the blog and it was a pleasure to talk about his plans for the fight and a rematch vs Matyushenko which, following the Jones fight, seems very feasible.

Tim Boetsch Interview


UFC on Versus was an awesome night of fights as well, I was gutted for Paul Kelly who was outgrappled by Jacob Volkmann, despite hitting a flying knee that either Adon or Sagat would have been proud of. It was also nice to see Gomi back to devastating form with that killer knock out of Tyson Griffin. That was one of the biggest faceplants I've seen this side of and it just goes to show how much Hadoken 'The Fireball Kid' still has in those hands. Okami looked good as always, but the potential of Silva vs. Okami must send shivers through Dana White's cheque book. Jon Jones proved that as well as being a serious prospect he needs higher end competition. I'd like to see him against Forrest Griffin or maybe even Rampage, there'll be no shortage of big fights in the future for that kid.

UFC 117 Picks

Roy Nelson vs. Junior Dos Santos

If I was picking this purely on aesthetics this would be an easy task but Nelson loves proving people wrong. He doens't look like he could run a book club without getting out of breath but there's no question that he's dangerous. The problem is that Junior Dos Santos is as dangerous as they come at this weight and has anvils for hands. I see JDS clipping Roy early and sending the 'Big Country' back to the buffet for a first round KO with a side order of concussion.

Matt Hughes vs. Ricardo Almeida 

Here's the thing, it's still hard to imagine Matt Hughes not winning by decision any time he fights. I think it's because a lot of my time watching the UFC has been spent watching Hughes grind people out repeatedly. You can't overlook what he's done but his fight against Renzo wasn't a great advertisment for either fighter. I think Almeida has the tools to beat Hughes and will work hard in all positions for a deserved unanimous decision victory.

Clay Guida vs. Rafael dos Anjos

This fight, for me, is probably one of the most interesting fights on the card. Anjos has the guard to punish Guida but I don't see him getting the chance to use it properly. Fighting Clay Guida is like trying to put up a tent in a phonebox, anyway you turn you're always going to encounter some kind of issue. I'm a huge Guida fan and I think he's got the right mix of skills to beat Dos Anjos. He'll do what he does best, rock out to The Used then use suffocating wrestling to earn a unanimous decision victory.

Jon Fitch vs. Thiago Alves

This was one of my fights to watch in August and for very good reason, as I said before both of these fighters have evolved tremendously but I see Alves with the edge. Fitch was rocked by Mike Pierce when they fought and for me, never really seems to want to pull the trigger. The bottom line is that Fitch can't win on the outside and when he shoots in the second round, Alves will land a tiger knee KO that will have all of Thailand cheering.

Anderson Silva vs. Chael Sonnen

I'm looking forward to this almost as much as any fight I can remember. The bad news for Chael Sonnen is that Anderson didn't "go back to Japan, where the competition was a little easier" like Leben told him to, he proceeded to administer a beating to Chris Leben that wouldn't have looked out of place in Alcatraz. Sonnen has said that he's five shots away from victory, but that represents a game of Brazilian Roulette that he clearly won't win. Sonnen survives a few nervous encounters to make it into the second round but Silva picks his moment perfectly to hit a 10 string combo that'd have Kazuya Mishima waiting for a high five afterwards. This time it's personal, and this time it's the Anderson Silva that you never want to face. Silva TKO in 2.

Thanks for taking the time to stop by and read the blog and keep getting yourself involved as the competition to win the Super North Star MMA shirts is not too long away. Until next time this is Ben Cartlidge reminding you that if Daniel Larusso would have pulled that one legged shit on me, I'd have rolling knee-barred him so fast he wouldn't have had time to wax anything.


Mario said...

Very nice read

Velo said...

So what do I win if I bet against you and win?

Ben Cartlidge said...

Thanks Mario, much appreciated.
Velo if you beat me this time you win the admiration of your friends and family.

However If you enter the UFC 118 prediction competition and beat everyone you win a free T shirt as seen here:

graham cooke said...

Good read, have added your blog to my google reader :)

Ben Cartlidge said...

Thanks Graham, I'm glad you enjoyed it. I'm quite proud of the phrase "Trying to put up a tent in a phonebox", I might use that one more often. :)

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